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Aliança Catalana will not stand in the upcoming Spanish general election scheduled for 29 November 2026, confirming its decision to focus exclusively on regional and local politics in Catalonia. The party’s leader, Sílvia Orriols, has ruled out participation in national politics, with party sources stating: "We are focused on municipal and Catalan elections."

The decision comes as Aliança Catalana experiences a notable rise in support within Catalonia. According to the July 2026 barometer from the Centre d’Estudis d’Opinió (CEO), the party is projected to grow significantly in the Catalan Parliament if elections were held today, with estimates placing it around 15% of voting intention and between 23 and 25 seats.

Political analysts consulted by El Periódico suggest that the party’s absence from the national race could benefit both Vox and Junts. Pablo Simón, political science professor at Carlos III University in Madrid, noted that while some of Aliança’s potential voters previously abstained, others may return to former affiliations such as Junts or Vox.

CEO data shows that 28% of those who voted for Junts in the 2024 Catalan election would now support Aliança Catalana, compared to 23% of former Vox voters. Among Aliança’s supporters, around 30% would choose Junts as a second preference, while 17% would opt for Vox.

Regional focus strengthens local strategy

By abstaining from the general election, Aliança Catalana avoids the risk of underperforming nationally, which could dampen its momentum in Catalonia. Simón argued that the benefits outweigh the drawbacks, as the party does not seek influence over Spanish governance and already faces challenges in filling candidate lists for municipal elections.

"Obtaining a result below expectations would also be a burden for them in Catalonia,"

, Pablo Simón, Carlos III University

Voter base reflects shifting priorities

Analysis from Crònica Global indicates that Aliança’s growth is driven by a diverse base, combining disillusioned independence supporters with voters concerned about law and order. Among new supporters, 51% cite immigration and 33.6% cite security as top issues, positions closer to Vox than to traditional pro-independence parties.

Despite this shift, Aliança’s electorate remains strongly Catalanist, scoring 7.66 out of 10 on national identity, though less so than Junts (84.5%). Ideologically, the party’s voters sit at 5.8 on the left-right scale, to the right of Puigdemont’s base (4.5).

Second-preference data from the CEO shows that 39% of new Aliança voters would otherwise choose Junts, 17.5% would pick Vox, and 10% would prefer Carles Puigdemont over Sílvia Orriols as president of the Generalitat.

Primary sources: repositori.upf.edu, upf.edu. Reported by elperiodico.cat, cronicaglobal.cat, Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (CEO), Departament d'Edicions del Parlament de Catalunya, parlament.cat, Parlament de Catalunya, El Periódico (CA).